The Market Is Paying for Judgment. Most Talent Systems Still Buy Tasks.
ADP Research recently published Unbundling jobs: Measuring the value of tasks in an AI economy, with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. Nela Richardson and Andrew Wang do not ask whether AI is deleting occupations. They price the work inside them.
That is the correct unit of analysis. It is also the unit most talent systems still refuse to use.
The paper is an early proof of concept, announced as part of a broader unbundling project at Davos in January 2026. It uses a selected sample of IT jobs, controls for age, gender, and company differences, and finds that certain IT tasks are less valued by employers today than they were prior to 2022 and the first wide release of AI tools. That validation is operationally meaningful but not independent in the audit sense. What it measures is relative prices inside IT work, not a labor-market census.
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