The S&P 500’s Race to 8,000 to be Decided by Q3 Earnings and Inflation Outlook
The S&P 500 has had a relatively muted year by its own lofty standards since the AI boom began in late 2022, but with another strong earnings season anticipated by analysts, the prospect of a record 8,000 value may still be in sight before the end of the year.
Having reached 7,000 for the first time in January, 2026 may still be a year of multiple watershed moments for the S&P 500. However, the road to 8,000 appears to hinge on significant tailwinds generated by company earnings.
With Q3 earnings season coming into view, expectations are high for another season of groundbreaking results.
Combining actual results at the time with consensus estimates for companies still to report their earnings, the S&P 500’s blended earnings growth rate for the third quarter sits at 29.0% year-over-year, while expected growth for the calendar year 2026 has reached 32.8%.
Magnificent Seven earnings are also...
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