New data suggests recent grads aren't being hit by AI effect on hiring — but for how long?
- New report claims "little direct evidence" that AI is causing graduate unemployment to spike
- Unemployment sees the same seasonal changes every year regardless
- Remote working could be impacting jobs, but they're usually similar jobs
A new report from CESifo has challenged the broadly accepted notion that AI is making it harder for graduates to get jobs, claiming there's no solid evidence that AI has caused a rise in unemployment among recent graduates.
While earlier research may have anticipated stronger labor market impacts, the paper confirms there's still no meaningful impact despite median monthly AI spending per employee doubling since the end of 2025, now that firms have actually got to grips with AI and aren't just experimenting so much anymore.
Crucially, the authors argue that there's so much more to any existing graduate unemployment than just AI, making attribution harder.
AI might not be taking so many younger workers' jobs...
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