Met Office finds most of us still won't trust an AI weather forecast

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  • Public confidence in AI weather forecasts is far lower than for numerical and physics-based methods
  • Just 11% said they were "very confident" in machine learning weather prediction, compared with 30% for tried-and-trusted methods
  • The Met Office has been using machine learning techniques in weather forecasting for some years

A survey of 6,000 UK adults has found that the majority don’t fully trust the idea of AI weather forecasts. While machine learning techniques have been a factor of weather forecasting for some years, the survey found that people are more relaxed about traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) as opposed to Machine Learning Weather Prediction (MLWP).

Predictive technology has increased considerably thanks to AI, and the Met Office has already begun to evaluate AI models for augmenting its existing forecasting methods.

However, the “confidence gap” in the results of the survey, which appears to be based around questions over accuracy, could undermine...

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