India’s quiet front in the resource war

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By Shayak Mazumder

There are two ways to read the Prime Minister’s appeal in Secunderabad on 10 May 2026. The first is the obvious one: gold, fuel, foreign travel, edible oil — discretionary dollar outflows the country can defer in a hard quarter. The second is more useful. The world has entered a generalised resource war, and a nation’s strategic position is now defined by what it cannot produce at home.

The war on Iran has pushed crude above $100 a barrel. India’s foreign exchange reserves have fallen from $728.5 billion before the war to $690.69 billion by 1 May 2026. The rupee is trading near 95. But energy is only the visible front.

A Stockholm International Peace Research Institute analysis this year describes critical minerals as having undergone “politicisation, securitisation, and militarisation” — linking them directly to conflict dynamics in Ukraine, the DRC, Greenland, and Venezuela. In February, the...

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