Forecasters predict wildfires, floods, severe heatwaves from incoming El Niño

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In almost every case, the WWA researchers found “human-induced climate change has a much greater influence on the likelihood and intensity of extreme weather events” than El Niño cycles, she said. One of their assessments showed that human-caused warming “far eclipsed” the effects of a strong El Niño on extreme rains in the Horn of Africa at the end of 2023.

Jemilah Mahmood, director of the Sunway Centre for Planetary Health at Sunway University in Indonesia, said during the press conference that the scientific projections for serious climate impacts from a combination of long-term warming and El Niño this year can be measured in terms of life and death, especially regarding extreme heat.

“Heat is exactly the kind of crisis that our systems are designed to ignore until it’s too late,” Mahmood said.

“It doesn’t arrive with a named storm or a visible floodline. It kills quietly, in homes,...

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